Sunday, August 26, 2012

Daily Weather Briefing for 08-26-2012


Here is the weather outlook for today and tomorrow and a look at the situation with Isaac. The projected paths of the storm have resumed their westward trend, so we still cannot be sure exactly where Isaac will come ashore and whether or not it will pass close by Macon County sometime next week.


Today: Patchy dense fog before 9am. Otherwise, mostly sunny, with a high near 81. Calm wind becoming north around 5 mph in the afternoon.

Hazardous Weather Outlook: A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE PRIMARY THREATS BEING BRIEF HEAVY RAIN AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

Tonight: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Patchy fog between midnight and 3am. Otherwise, partly cloudy, with a low around 59. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Monday: Sunny, with a high near 83. Calm wind becoming southeast around 6 mph in the afternoon.

Monday Night: A slight chance of showers after midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 20%.


Tropical Weather Outlook:

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.0 WEST. ISAAC IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/H. A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ISAAC IS EXPECTED TO MOVE JUST NORTH OF THE NORTH COAST OF CUBA THIS MORNING...MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND MOVE INTO THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO ON MONDAY.

DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND ISAAC IS EXPECTED TO BE AT OR NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH WHEN IT REACHES THE FLORIDA KEYS.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM FROM THE CENTER.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE AIRCRAFT WAS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES.

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ISAAC ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092012
500 AM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012

...ISAAC A LITTLE STRONGER...EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE FLORIDA KEYS LATER TODAY...HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED FOR PART OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.1N 79.0W
ABOUT 205 MI...330 KM ESE OF KEY WEST FLORIDA
ABOUT 215 MI...350 KM E OF HAVANA CUBA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.38 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER EASTWARD TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA...NOT INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD AND WESTWARD ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO INDIAN PASS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE FLORIDA KEYS INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS
* THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM BONITA BEACH SOUTHWARD TO OCEAN
REEF
* FLORIDA BAY
* ANDROS ISLAND IN THE BAHAMAS

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD TO OCEAN REEF
* THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA...NOT
INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS



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