Here is a pre-weekend weather outlook and update on the tropical weather situation for next week...
Today: Isolated showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Patchy dense fog before 9am. Otherwise, cloudy through mid morning, then becoming mostly sunny, with a high near 83. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Hazardous Weather Outlook: SCATTERED TO ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH THESE STORMS. SLOW MOVING STORMS OVER URBAN AREAS AND OTHER POORLY DRAINED AREAS COULD RESULT IN EXCESSIVE RAINFALL.
Tonight: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 9pm. Patchy fog after midnight. Otherwise, partly cloudy, with a low around 56. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Friday: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 10am. Areas of fog before 8am. Otherwise, mostly sunny, with a high near 81. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 58. Calm wind.
Tropical Weather Outlook:
TROPICAL STORM ISAAC ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
400 AM EDT THU AUG 23 2012
...AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FINDS ISAAC SLIGHTLY
WEAKER AND FARTHER SOUTH...
SUMMARY OF 400 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...15.3N 64.0W
ABOUT 255 MI...410 KM SSE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
ABOUT 370 MI...595 KM ESE OF ISLA SAONA DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
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AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC HAS REFORMED NEAR LATITUDE 15.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.0 WEST. ISAAC IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H.
SOME ERRATIC MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST TO NORTHWEST COULD OCCUR THIS MORNING...BUT A STEADY MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ISAAC SHOULD PASS TO THE SOUTH OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO TODAY...AND APPROACH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.
DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT AND A NOAA BUOY INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. HOWEVER...RE-STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS....AND ISAAC COULD STILL BECOME A HURRICANE ON FRIDAY BEFORE IT REACHES HISPANIOLA.
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON REPORTS FROM THE AIRCRAFT AND A NEARBY NOAA BUOY IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
Bobby,
ReplyDeleteDo you discuss your tropical outlook? just curious. Im in the European camp, however most still put us on the left entrance region and this will cut down on rain totals drastically; Franklin could get a few inches, while CLT gets over a foot (sharp rain line). Plus, the after period will bring in cooler air as NW flow ensues as it spins up the coast.
P.S. Do you know about AmericanWx.com?
I am in the Euro camp, too.
ReplyDeleteThe GFS has moved significantly westward to match the original projections of the Euro. :)
Yes, I do. My user name over there is WNCwx.
I haven't really commented there much) because some of the commenters in the Southeast forum are trolls. (I do post photos and video when something significant weather-wise happens locally