Daily Weather Briefing for 08-30-2012

Here is the your weather forecast for today and tonight with an early look at the the weened and the latest on Isaac...

Today A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 9am. Partly sunny, with a high near 83. Calm wind becoming southwest around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Hazardous Weather Outlook: SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY CONTAIN HEAVY DOWNPOURS THAT MAY RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLOODING. A FEW OF THE STORMS MAY
BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL. THE STORMS SHOULD TAPER OFF THIS EVENING.

Tonight A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 10pm, then a slight chance of showers. Patchy fog between midnight and 1am, then Patchy fog between 3am and 4am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Friday A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 83. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Friday Night A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm, then a slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Saturday A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 10am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 86. Calm wind becoming north around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Saturday Night A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Sunday A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 9am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 84. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

Sunday Night A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 67. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Tropical Weather Update:

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ISAAC ADVISORY NUMBER  37
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092012
400 AM CDT THU AUG 30 2012

...ISAAC CONTINUES TO WEAKEN SLOWLY OVER LAND BUT STILL PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS AND SEVERE WEATHER...WATER LEVELS REMAIN HIGH ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.9N 91.6W
ABOUT 55 MI...85 KM SE OF ALEXANDRIA LOUISIANA
ABOUT 110 MI...175 KM NW OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING WEST OF INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA TO CAMERON IS DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER...
INCLUDING LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.6 WEST. ISAAC IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H.  A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH ON FRIDAY.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ISAAC
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER LOUISIANA TODAY...OVER ARKANSAS ON FRIDAY...AND OVER SOUTHERN MISSOURI FRIDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE PRIMARILY OCCURRING OVER WATER OR NEAR THE COAST.  STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS ISAAC CONTINUES TO MOVE OVER LAND.  ISAAC IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY TONIGHT.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON NEARBY SURFACE OBSERVATIONS IS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
EVEN THOUGH ISAAC IS NO LONGER A HURRICANE...LIFE-THREATENING HAZARDS FROM STORM SURGE...INLAND FLOODING...AND TORNADOES ARE STILL OCCURRING.

STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...

* MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...5 TO 10 FT
* ALABAMA...2 TO 4 FT
* SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA...1 TO 3 FT
* FLORIDA PANHANDLE...1 TO 2 FT

THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS.  SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES.  FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.

BASED ON AN OBSERVATION FROM A NATIONAL OCEAN SERVICE TIDE GAUGE AT NEW CANAL STATION LOUISIANA...A STORM SURGE OF 6.3 FEET IS STILL OCCURRING ON THE SOUTHERN SHORE OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE WARNING AREA THROUGH THIS MORNING.

RAINFALL...ISAAC IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 7 TO 14 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 25 INCHES...OVER MUCH OF LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND ARKANSAS THROUGH FRIDAY.  THESE RAINS COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT LOWLAND FLOODING.

TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION AND PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY THROUGH TODAY.

SURF...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA AND THE NORTHERN GULF COAST FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

Daily Weather Briefing for 08-29-2012

Here is the forecast for the rest of the week and a look at what Isaac is up to this morning...

Today: A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 9am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 84. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Hazardous Weather Outlook: SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH THE BEST COVERAGE EXPECTED SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40. THE BIGGEST THREAT WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL THAT COULD PRODUCE LOCALIZED URBAN FLOODING ACROSS POOR DRAINAGE AND LOW
LYING AREAS.

Tonight: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Patchy fog after 1am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 62. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Thursday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Areas of fog before 8am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 83. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Thursday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 9pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Friday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 83. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Friday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Tropical Outlook:

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ISAAC ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092012
400 AM CDT WED AUG 29 2012

...ISAAC BEGINNING TO MOVE INLAND IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...DANGEROUS STORM SURGE AND FLOOD THREAT FROM HEAVY RAINS LIKELY TO CONTINUE THROUGH TODAY AND TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.2N 90.5W
ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM SSE OF HOUMA LOUISIANA
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM SSW OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...969 MB...28.61 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EAST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER...
INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...
AND LAKE MAUREPAS

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* INTRACOASTAL CITY TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER TO DESTIN FLORIDA
* MORGAN CITY TO SABINE PASS TEXAS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS TO JUST WEST OF SABINE PASS

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICE. 


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.5 WEST. ISAAC IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H.  A GENERAL NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST BY THURSDAY NIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ISAAC WILL MOVE OVER LOUISIANA TODAY AND TOMORROW AND OVER SOUTHERN ARKANSAS EARLY FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ISAAC IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS ISAAC MOVES OVER LAND DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM.  A SUSTAINED WIND OF 51 MPH WITH A GUST TO 66 MPH WAS REPORTED WITHIN THE PAST HOUR AT LAKEFRONT AIRPORT IN NEW ORLEANS.  A SUSTAINED WIND OF 51 MPH WITH A GUST TO 70 MPH WAS REPORTED WITHIN THE PAST HOUR AT BOOTHVILLE LOUISIANA.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 969 MB...28.61 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...

* MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...6 TO 12 FT
* ALABAMA...3 TO 6 FT
* SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA...3 TO 6 FT
* FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND APALACHEE BAY...2 TO 4 FT

THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS.  SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES.  FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE WARNING AREA THIS MORNING...AND HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ONSHORE ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA.

WINDS AFFECTING THE UPPER FLOORS OF HIGH-RISE BUILDINGS WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY STRONGER THAN THOSE NEAR GROUND LEVEL. AT ABOUT THE 30TH STORY...WINDS WOULD LIKELY BE ONE SAFFIR-SIMPSON CATEGORY STRONGER THAN AT THE SURFACE.

RAINFALL...ISAAC IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 7 TO 14 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES...OVER MUCH OF LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.  THESE RAINS COULD
RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT LOWLAND FLOODING.  RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE NORTHWARD INTO ARKANSAS ON THURSDAY WITH AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES EXPECTED OVER SOUTHERN ARKANSAS BY FRIDAY MORNING.

TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION AND PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SURF...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA AND THE NORTHERN GULF COAST FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

Daily Weather Briefing for 08-28-2012

Here is the forecast for the rest of the week and another look at Hurricane Isaac, which is expectec to come ashore near New Orleans later today or tonight...

Today: A chance of showers before noon, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between noon and 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Areas of fog before 9am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 81. Light east wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Hazardous Weather Outlook: A COLD FRONT WILL DRIFT DOWN TO THE WEST SIDE OF THE MOUNTAINS TODAY AS ISAAC MOVES TOWARD THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST. THE FRONT WILL STALL ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY ALLOWING
TROPICAL MOISTURE TO POOL ACROSS THE REGION. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN ACROSS THE CAROLINAS ON FRIDAY.

Tonight: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Patchy fog after 5am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

Wednesday: A chance of showers, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 9am. Patchy fog before 7am. Otherwise, cloudy, with a high near 81. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

Wednesday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. Light south wind. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Thursday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly between noon and 5pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 5pm. Cloudy, with a high near 81. Calm wind becoming southeast 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

Thursday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Friday: A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 9am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 78. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Friday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Tropical Outlook:

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ISAAC ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092012
400 AM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012

...ISAAC ON THE VERGE OF BECOMING A HURRICANE...SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE AND FRESHWATER FLOOD THREAT TO THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.5N 88.1W
ABOUT 125 MI...205 KM SSE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER ABOUT 205 MI...330 KM SSE OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...977 MB...28.85 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED WESTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TO CAMERON LOUISIANA.

THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS EXTENDED WESTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TO JUST EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EAST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER... INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE
MAUREPAS

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* INTRACOASTAL CITY TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER TO THE AUCILLA RIVER
* MORGAN CITY TO CAMERON LOUISIANA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS TO JUST WEST OF CAMERON LOUISIANA

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.1 WEST. ISAAC IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL BE NEAR OR OVER THE LOUISANA COAST TONIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND ISAAC IS LIKELY TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST UNTIL THE CENTER MOVES INLAND.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM FROM THE CENTER.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 977 MB...28.85 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...

* SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI...6 TO 12 FT
* ALABAMA...4 TO 8 FT
* SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA...3 TO 6 FT
* FLORIDA PANHANDLE...3 TO 6 FT
* FLORIDA WEST COAST INCLUDING APALACHEE BAY...1 TO 3 FT

THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS.  SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES.  FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE NORTHERN GULF COAST IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA THIS MORNING...WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY THIS AFTERNOON.

TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHWARD INTO THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AREA AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE IN THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA THIS MORNING.

TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA IN LOUISIANA BY TONIGHT.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA AND THE UPPER TEXAS COAST BY TONIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY.

RAINFALL...ISAAC IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 7 TO 14 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES...IN SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHERN ALABAMA...AND THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.
THESE RAINS COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT LOWLAND FLOODING.

TORNADOES...TORNADOES MAY OCCUR ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TODAY.

SURF...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE FLORIDA COASTLINE AND PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

Daily Weather Briefing for 08-27-2012

Here is the weather outlook for today and tomorrow and an update on the progress of sonn to be Hurricane Isaac. The short story is that Isaac appears to be headed toward Missisppi and/or Lousiana and probably won't be dumping so much rain here as originally suspected. We may still get several inches from the remants of the storm, but not double digits. Today: Patchy fog before 10am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming sunny, with a high near 82. Calm wind becoming southeast around 6 mph in the afternoon. Hazardous Weather Outlook: There is no hazardous weather expected. Tonight: Patchy fog after 2am. Otherwise, mostly clear, with a low around 60. Calm wind. Tuesday: A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 4pm. Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 79. Calm wind becoming southwest around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Tuesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Tropical Weather Outlook: BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ISAAC ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012 500 AM EDT MON AUG 27 2012 ...ISAAC CONTINUES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN...NEW WATCHES AND WARNINGS ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF LOUISIANA... SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.2N 84.2W ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM SW OF FT. MYERS FLORIDA ABOUT 405 MI...650 KM SE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.23 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA. A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM EAST OF SABINE PASS TO WEST OF INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA. THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE FROM EAST OF DESTIN TO INDIAN PASS HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA NORTH OF OCEAN REEF AND FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EAST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO DESTIN FLORIDA...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE MAUREPAS A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * INTRACOASTAL CITY TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE FLORIDA PENINSULA FROM OCEAN REEF SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST AND FROM TARPON SPRINGS SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST * FLORIDA KEYS...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY * EAST OF DESTIN FLORIDA TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER * INTRACOASTAL CITY TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EAST OF SABINE PASS TO WEST OF INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE 25.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.2 WEST. ISAAC IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ISAAC WILL MOVE OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO TODAY AND APPROACH THE NORTHERN GULF COAST IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA ON TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND ISAAC IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE IN A DAY OR SO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 240 MILES...390 KM...FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON DATA FROM THE AIRCRAFT IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE... * SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI...AND ALABAMA...6 TO 12 FT * SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA...3 TO 6 FT * FLORIDA PANHANDLE...3 TO 6 FT * FLORIDA WEST COAST INCLUDING APALACHEE BAY...1 TO 3 FT * SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST AND THE FLORIDA KEYS...1 TO 2 FT THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS...AND SHOULD SPREAD NORTHWARD ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST IN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA TODAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE NORTHERN GULF COAST IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY...WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY. RAINFALL...ISAAC IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA...WHERE ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 18 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE IN SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN ALABAMA...MISSISSIPPI AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE FROM CENTRAL FLORIDA THROUGH THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE TORNADO THREAT WILL DIMINISH OVER SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS THIS MORNING. SURF...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AND BEGIN TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TODAY. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE FOR MORE INFORMATION.

TS Isaac Update for 08-26-2012

The latest models seem to be indicating that Isaac probably won't be headed toward Macon County. Of course, be aware that situation could change very quickly and we could be back in the bulls eye of this storm. I expect that we may not have a clear picture until Tuesday morning. Until then, please keep checking with your favorite source of weather news for updates.

I have posted some information from the National Hurricane Center and the NWS below for your information:

Update on Tropical Storm Isaac from the National Hurricane Center

TROPICAL STORM ISAAC ADVISORY NUMBER  22
1100 AM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012

...ISAAC LASHING SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE KEYS...


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD TO OCEAN REEF IS DISCONTINUED.

THE HURRICANE WATCH IS EXTENDED WESTWARD ALONG THE LOUISIANA COAST TO JUST EAST OF MORGAN CITY...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.

THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA... CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...HOLGUIN... GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GUANTANAMO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE FLORIDA KEYS INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS
* THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM BONITA BEACH SOUTHWARD TO OCEAN REEF
* FLORIDA BAY

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EAST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF VILLA CLARA
* THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
* THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM SEBASTIAN INLET SOUTHWARD TO OCEAN REEF
* LAKE OKEECHOBEE
* THE FLORIDA WEST COAST AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE FROM NORTH OF BONITA BEACH TO INDIAN PASS...INCLUDING TAMPA BAY

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF MATANZAS AND CIENFUEGOS
* THE FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF SEBASTIAN INLET TO FLAGLER BEACH

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE REMAINDER OF CUBA...THE REMAINDER OF FLORIDA...AND THE REMAINDER OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ISAAC.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS... PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE UNITED STATES... PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23. NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.8 WEST. ISAAC IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH. A WEST- NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THE FORECAST TRACK... THE CENTER OF ISAAC IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND MOVE INTO THE
EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND ISAAC IS EXPECTED TO BE AT OR NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH WHEN IT REACHES THE FLORIDA KEYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES FROM THE CENTER.  A WIND GUST TO 60 MPH...WAS REPORTED IN POMPANO BEACH... AND A WIND GUST TO 59 MPH WAS REPORTED IN KENDALL.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA KEYS...THE SOUTHERN PENINSULA OF FLORIDA AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN CUBA. TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN BAHAMAS.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA AND THE BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN PORTIONS OF NORTHWESTERN CUBA BY LATE TODAY.

HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA IN SOUTHWEST FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING IN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA AND INTO THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE IN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON TUESDAY...WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE BY MONDAY NIGHT.

STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...

* CRYSTAL RIVER THROUGH THE BIG BEND OF FLORIDA...4 TO 7 FT
* SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST WITHIN HURRICANE WARNING AREA...4 TO 6 FT
* FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM BONITA BEACH TO SOUTH OF CRYSTAL RIVER INCLUDING TAMPA BAY...3 TO 5 FT
* SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST AND THE FLORIDA KEYS...1 TO 3 FT
* CENTRAL AND EASTERN CUBA...1 TO 3 FT
* THE BAHAMAS...1 TO 3 FT

THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY DANGEROUS WAVES.

TORNADOES...TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA...WITH THE GREATEST THREAT OVER SOUTHERN FLORIDA AND THE KEYS.

SURF...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS... EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA...THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE FOR MORE INFORMATION.

Water Levels at various NWS Stations in Florida

As of 08/26/2012 12:00 EDT, water levels in southeastern Florida and the Keys are elevated between 0.7 and 1.0 ft above predicted tide levels.  Water levels along the western coast of Florida from Cedar Key to Naples have fallen 0.2-0.8 ft below predictions.  Winds across southern Florida generally range between 10 and 30 knots with some gusts over 35 kts. Wind gusts up to 39 kts were recorded at Virginia Key, Fl. Barometric pressure continues to fall across the region.

Water Level and Meteorological plots available below are updated automatically. Water level predictions relative to Mean Lower Low Water are:

Key West, FL: Next predicted high tides are 1.1 ft (0.34 m) at 08/26/2012 19:32 EDT and 2.1 ft (0.65 m) at 08/27/2012 06:47 EDT.

Vaca Key, FL: Next predicted high tides are 0.7 ft (0.20 m) at 08/27/2012 00:49 EDT and 1.1 ft (0.33 m) at 08/27/2012 09:24 EDT.

Virginia Key, FL: Next predicted high tides are 2.3 ft (0.70 m) at 08/26/2012 17:30 EDT and 2.3 ft (0.70 m) at 08/27/2012 05:46 EDT.

Lake Worth Pier, FL: Next predicted high tides are 3.2 ft (0.98 m) at 08/26/2012 16:35 EDT and 2.8 ft (0.88 m) at 08/27/2012 04:47 EDT.

Trident Pier, FL: Next predicted high tides are 4.3 ft (1.32 m) at 08/26/2012 16:12 EDT and 3.4 ft (1.06 m) at 08/27/2012 04:24 EDT.

Naples, FL: Next predicted high tides are 2.3 ft (0.70 m) at 08/26/2012 22:47 EDT and 3.2 ft (0.98 m) at 08/27/2012 09:22 EDT.

Fort Myers, FL: Next predicted high tides are 1.0 ft (0.30 m) at 08/27/2012 02:11 EDT and 1.6 ft (0.50 m) at 08/27/2012 12:55 EDT.

St. Petersburg, FL: Next predicted high tides are 1.6 ft (0.50 m) at 08/27/2012 01:43 EDT and 2.7 ft (0.82 m) at 08/27/2012 10:46 EDT.

Cedar Key, FL: Next predicted high tides are 3.0 ft (0.91 m) at 08/27/2012 00:00 EDT and 4.0 ft (1.24 m) at 08/27/2012 10:37 EDT.

For additional data, please see the Center for Operational Oceanographic Products & Serviceswebsite. For information on Highest Astronomical Tide (HAT), NAVD88 and other datums, please seeTidal Datums.  For more information or archived products and reports, please see the Storm QuickLook Homepage.

Daily Weather Briefing for 08-26-2012

Here is the weather outlook for today and tomorrow and a look at the situation with Isaac. The projected paths of the storm have resumed their westward trend, so we still cannot be sure exactly where Isaac will come ashore and whether or not it will pass close by Macon County sometime next week.


Today: Patchy dense fog before 9am. Otherwise, mostly sunny, with a high near 81. Calm wind becoming north around 5 mph in the afternoon.

Hazardous Weather Outlook: A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE PRIMARY THREATS BEING BRIEF HEAVY RAIN AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

Tonight: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Patchy fog between midnight and 3am. Otherwise, partly cloudy, with a low around 59. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Monday: Sunny, with a high near 83. Calm wind becoming southeast around 6 mph in the afternoon.

Monday Night: A slight chance of showers after midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 20%.


Tropical Weather Outlook:

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.0 WEST. ISAAC IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/H. A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ISAAC IS EXPECTED TO MOVE JUST NORTH OF THE NORTH COAST OF CUBA THIS MORNING...MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND MOVE INTO THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO ON MONDAY.

DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND ISAAC IS EXPECTED TO BE AT OR NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH WHEN IT REACHES THE FLORIDA KEYS.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM FROM THE CENTER.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE AIRCRAFT WAS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES.

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ISAAC ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092012
500 AM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012

...ISAAC A LITTLE STRONGER...EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE FLORIDA KEYS LATER TODAY...HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED FOR PART OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.1N 79.0W
ABOUT 205 MI...330 KM ESE OF KEY WEST FLORIDA
ABOUT 215 MI...350 KM E OF HAVANA CUBA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.38 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER EASTWARD TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA...NOT INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD AND WESTWARD ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO INDIAN PASS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE FLORIDA KEYS INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS
* THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM BONITA BEACH SOUTHWARD TO OCEAN
REEF
* FLORIDA BAY
* ANDROS ISLAND IN THE BAHAMAS

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD TO OCEAN REEF
* THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA...NOT
INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS

Daily Weather Briefing for 08-25-2012

Here is your weather outlook for this weekend in Macon County and an update on the tropical situation regarding Isaac.


Today: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 4pm. Patchy dense fog before 10am. Otherwise, mostly sunny, with a high near 78. Calm wind becoming north around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

HAzardous Weather Outlook: There is no hazardous weather outlook for today. Go out and enjoy the day!!!!

Tonight: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 8pm. Patchy dense fog between 11pm and 3am. Otherwise, partly cloudy, with a low around 58. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Sunday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 4pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 81. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Sunday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 9pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 60. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 82. Calm wind.

Monday Night: A slight chance of showers after 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. Chance of precipitation is 20%.


Tropical Weather Update:

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ISAAC ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092012
500 AM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012

...ISAAC EMERGING FROM THE COAST OF HAITI...NEW WATCHES AND WARNINGS
ISSUED FOR SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE KEYS...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.0N 73.3W
ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM S OF GREAT INAGUA ISLAND
ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM SE OF GUANTANAMO CUBA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.29 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS INCLUDING
THE DRY TORTUGAS...THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM BONITA BEACH
SOUTHWARD...AND FLORIDA BAY.

A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM
GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD.

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR
ANDROS ISLAND.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE FLORIDA KEYS INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS
* THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM BONITA BEACH SOUTHWARD
* FLORIDA BAY

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAITI
* THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD
* ANDROS ISLAND IN THE BAHAMAS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
* HAITI
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...VILLA
CLARA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...HOLGUIN...SANTIAGO DE
CUBA...AND GUANTANAMO
* THE BAHAMAS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD
* LAKE OKEECHOBEE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF MATANZAS AND CIENFUEGOS
* JAMAICA
* THE FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF JUPITER INLET TO SEBASTIAN INLET

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE REMAINDER OF CUBA AND THE REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ISAAC.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

Daily Weather Briefing for 08-24-2012

Here is the weather outlook and the tropical update for the weekend...the image is a graphic of the latest computer models of the projected path of Isaac, which has been trending westward the past few days. We'll be keeping an eye on the storm for you.

Today: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 3pm. Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 82. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Hazardous Weather Outlook: SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE REGION WITH THE GREATER COVERAGE BEING ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS. AS WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM...A PERIOD OF BRIEF HEAVY RAIN AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS THE BIGGEST THREAT. ANY STRONGER STORMS MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WIND AND/OR SMALL HAIL.

Tonight: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 9pm. Patchy fog between 11pm and 3am. Otherwise, mostly clear, with a low around 58. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Saturday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 82. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Saturday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 7pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 59. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Sunday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 82. Light northeast wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Sunday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 60.



Tropical Update:

BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ISAAC ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012 500 AM EDT FRI AUG 24 2012

...POORLY ORGANIZED ISAAC JOGS WESTWARD...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.1N 70.0W ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM S OF SANTO DOMINGO DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ABOUT 230 MI...370 KM SE OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI TODAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER EASTERN CUBA BY TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER CENTRAL CUBA...THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...AND ANDROS ISLAND BY SATURDAY.

RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER HISPANIOLA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

Daily Weather Briefing for 08-23-2012

Here is a pre-weekend weather outlook and update on the tropical weather situation for next week...


Today: Isolated showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Patchy dense fog before 9am. Otherwise, cloudy through mid morning, then becoming mostly sunny, with a high near 83. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Hazardous Weather Outlook: SCATTERED TO ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH THESE STORMS. SLOW MOVING STORMS OVER URBAN AREAS AND OTHER POORLY DRAINED AREAS COULD RESULT IN EXCESSIVE RAINFALL.

Tonight: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 9pm. Patchy fog after midnight. Otherwise, partly cloudy, with a low around 56. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Friday: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 10am. Areas of fog before 8am. Otherwise, mostly sunny, with a high near 81. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 58. Calm wind.

Tropical Weather Outlook:

TROPICAL STORM ISAAC ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
400 AM EDT THU AUG 23 2012

...AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FINDS ISAAC SLIGHTLY
WEAKER AND FARTHER SOUTH...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.3N 64.0W
ABOUT 255 MI...410 KM SSE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
ABOUT 370 MI...595 KM ESE OF ISLA SAONA DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC HAS REFORMED NEAR LATITUDE 15.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.0 WEST. ISAAC IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H.

SOME ERRATIC MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST TO NORTHWEST COULD OCCUR THIS MORNING...BUT A STEADY MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ISAAC SHOULD PASS TO THE SOUTH OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO TODAY...AND APPROACH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.

DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT AND A NOAA BUOY INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. HOWEVER...RE-STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS....AND ISAAC COULD STILL BECOME A HURRICANE ON FRIDAY BEFORE IT REACHES HISPANIOLA.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON REPORTS FROM THE AIRCRAFT AND A NEARBY NOAA BUOY IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.